Erdoğan Not Assured of First-Round Victory

By John Halpin, Max Hoffman, Alan Makovsky, and Michael Werz

In April, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan called for snap elections expecting to solidify his rule under new constitutional powers. Yet with less than two weeks to go until the June 24 vote, he does not have majority support from Turkish voters. Likewise, Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) and party allies remain short of majority control ahead of the parliamentary elections scheduled for the same day.

These findings are based on a comprehensive survey conducted jointly by the Center for American Progress and Metropoll, a respected Turkish survey research firm with a long history in Turkish politics. The study consisted of 2,534 face-to-face interviews with Turks using stratified sampling and weighting methods in 28 provinces based on 26 regions of Turkey's Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) 2 system. The survey was conducted May 24 to June 4, 2018, and the total results have a margin error of 1.95 percent at the 95 percent level of confidence.

Details zur Publikation

Autor: John Halpin, Max Hoffman, Alan Makovsky, Michael Werz Herausgeber: Center for American Progress Veröffentlichung: Juni 2018

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Erdoğan Not Assured of First-Round Victory
Turkish Presidential and Parliamentary Elections Poll June 2018
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